Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.723044 3.966962 4.229792 4.536081 4.885870 5.276196 5.749504
2025-03-30 3.374708 3.702753 4.076797 4.541802 5.114857 5.813239 6.755086
2025-04-06 3.071609 3.444969 3.889554 4.471868 5.237856 6.250212 7.769875
2025-04-13 2.790870 3.181329 3.661730 4.317256 5.227168 6.518453 8.666337
2025-04-20 2.653485 3.078435 3.620477 4.395625 5.543389 7.328112 10.763113
2025-04-27 2.539347 2.992832 3.590609 4.484293 5.895729 8.317600 13.894440
2025-05-04 2.469592 2.957680 3.623350 4.667249 6.441357 9.881456 20.218486
2025-05-11 2.373971 2.878247 3.584428 4.735301 6.817014 11.341778 29.952688
2025-05-18 2.270842 2.779502 3.506760 4.729390 7.060553 12.690034 46.704509
2025-05-25 2.134610 2.624316 3.331313 4.537640 6.898185 12.922477 60.353024
2025-06-01 2.038363 2.520464 3.225418 4.452240 6.939372 13.811899 105.532888
2025-06-08 1.962714 2.441676 3.151572 4.413561 7.074488 15.156381 416.943484
2025-06-15 1.897673 2.381896 3.114134 4.458529 7.474577 18.283944 NaN
2025-06-22 1.823898 2.304973 3.043829 4.435477 7.722074 21.489305 NaN
2025-06-29 1.744420 2.215060 2.945819 4.347621 7.786734 24.190976 NaN
2025-07-06 1.658595 2.111154 2.817739 4.185949 7.610460 25.201954 NaN
2025-07-13 1.618631 2.075554 2.801249 4.248439 8.113387 34.307929 NaN
2025-07-20 1.583371 2.045036 2.790725 4.322655 8.706596 52.507759 NaN
2025-07-27 1.563427 2.037230 2.818694 4.486127 9.728050 136.718549 NaN
2025-08-03 1.529611 2.005110 2.800632 4.543675 10.421953 1240.772835 NaN
2025-08-10 1.489517 1.960628 2.756661 4.533895 10.848968 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 1.430820 1.883221 2.647498 4.353229 10.408135 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 1.388174 1.830569 2.581379 4.271844 10.425664 NaN NaN